Carmel Clay Schools student population expected to dip in next decade


By Ann Marie Shambaugh

Carmel Clay Schools is expecting its student population to decrease in the next decade as fewer new homes are built and the population ages.

Associate Supt. for Business Affairs Roger McMichael reviewed the results of a demographic study with the school board at its Dec. 12 meeting. He said the projections are on track with what was predicted in 2013, the last time CCS conducted a demographic study.

CCS enrollment was up this year, but the district is starting to see smaller class sizes at the elementary level.

“Our elementary enrollment has been declining since 2011-12 slightly,” McMichael said. “The overall enrollment for the district has continued to increase slightly, because we’re still getting larger classes going through the secondary level.”

The study predicts a decrease of 209 students between 2016 and 2021 and a decrease of 759 students between 2021 and 2026.

“Ultimately the projection is that we’ll have a total decline in enrollment of close to 1,000 students, but that is not anything new to us,” McMichael said, referring to past demographic studies.

The study also shows that most people moving into CCS are in the 0 to 9 and 25 to 44 year old age groups and that the city’s average age will rise from 39.1 in 2010 to 43.7 in 2025.

CCS officials are pleased with the accuracy of the 2013 demographic study and recently reviewed the results of the latest one. (Chart courtesy of CCS)